Reza Gheibi — London, United Kingdom. Independent analysis and advisory for high-stakes, cross-border decisions. Europe ↔ Middle East.
I'm an economic journalist and macro-risk analyst with 18+ years decoding how policy, markets and geopolitics collide. I focus on second-order effects — the hidden trade-offs and downstream consequences that surface after the first wave of news.
My approach is structured and repeatable: scenario maps (base / upside / downside), key indicators, and complexity translated into clear strategic options. I deliver context, probabilities and decision-ready analysis that reduces surprise.
I work with executives, investors and editorial teams who need a trusted thought partner for cross-border decisions — especially when uncertainty is high and the cost of being wrong is real.
Decision-ready breakdowns of economic and policy moves: what changed, why it matters, and what to watch next.
Headlines placed in historical and macro frameworks — so you can separate signal from noise and avoid false narratives.
Second-order impact mapping: hidden trade-offs, tail risks and scenarios (base / upside / downside) with clear indicators.
Independent perspective connecting geopolitics, capital flows and power structures — without agenda or hype.
Selected appearances, publications and institutional work across international newswires, European publications, Persian-language media, economic journalism and strategic advisory.
Quoted on Iran's fuel-quota policy — that restructuring the quotas “would, at best, change the way the shortage is distributed — not the shortage itself.”
Read article →Quoted in Reuters' investigation into the Revolutionary Guards' control of Iran's online betting networks: “When financial enterprises grow large and operate independently … the IRGC moves to oversee them.”
Read the investigation →Economic analysis by Reza Gheibi on the impact of attacks on Iran's infrastructure — inflation, poverty, purchasing power and post-war economic fragility.
Read analysis →Interview with Reza Gheibi on Iran's political and economic fragility under war pressure.
Read interview →